Where Democrats and Republicans live in your city

This at 538 is really interesting:

We’ve heard it over and over: Democratic candidates win cities. Researchershave tracked the way Democrats have dominated in cities since the ’90s. Politicians bring up America’s deep-blue cities constantly, including in stump speeches and in every debate over the Electoral College. Even FiveThirtyEight couldn’t resist joining in: In December, Galen Druke and I showed how America’s cities and tightly packed suburbs shifted toward Democrats in the most recent midterm election. The more densely populated the place, the more Democratic the voters.

But just because Republicans aren’t winning in cities doesn’t mean that no Republicans live there. Much has been made of the country’s urban-ruralpolitical divide, but almost every Democratic city has Republican enclaves, especially when you think about cities as more than just their downtowns. It’s a sign of our polarized times that these Republicans aren’t evenly distributed across the city, of course. But it’s also a sign of how centuries of American history have shaped and continue to shape where we live — and who our neighbors are.

Echoing what I recall reading in Prius or Pickup, I found this part particularly interesting:

When you expand the definition of urban areas beyond their downtown areas, cities start to look less Democratic and less densely populated. In more than half of the country’s 153 biggest urban areas, Democrats got between 40 and 60 percent of the 2016 two-party vote share2 — the share of votes that went to one of the two major parties, ignoring third-party votes and write-in candidates. Many of those urban areas aren’t small, tightly packed areas like Manhattan but sprawling, low-density regions like Phoenix, say, or Jacksonville, Florida.

Across the country, Republicans in urban areas are more likely to be found in the less-centralized, lower-density neighborhoods. “Even if you look within the same census tract or the same ZIP code or the same precinct, and even if you’re in a place like Manhattan, Republicans will search out the less-dense part to live in,” said Steven Webster, a political scientist at Washington University. [emphasis mine]

If you live in a major American metro area, they’ll have your map.  Here’s Raleigh and surrounding areas.

I helpfully put in a little green dot below the double “l” in Morrisville so you can my “blue” next of the woods.  It’s kind of interesting how Raleigh’s western suburbs stay quite blue whereas where you go North and South, you get really red.  I actually notice this coaching soccer as when we play teams from our immediate area they tend to be relatively ethnically diverse, whereas when we play teams from Holly Springs, Fuquay or North Raleigh, it’s almost always all white kids.  Yeah, not the exact same thing as partisanship, but pretty close in today’s world.  And, presumably, on some level, the white people like me in the blue areas are quite comfortable with the considerable levels of diversity and the white people in the red areas, less so.

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About Steve Greene
Professor of Political Science at NC State http://faculty.chass.ncsu.edu/shgreene

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