The demographics of 2018

This Vox piece from Yglesias relies on data from Catalist (and creates some handy charts) so we can get a clear sense of the impact of the demographics of the electorate.  The headline states, “The 2018 electorate was older, whiter, and better educated than in 2016,” but you can pretty much always say that for a midterm relative to a presidential year.  A far more meaningful comparison is 2014, and here you can see that the Democratic-leaning groups did well.

Compared to 2014, young voters were noticeably up, non-white voters were noticeably up, and college grads were noticeably up.  Keep this going for 2020 and we’re onto something.


The generation gap

This NYT feature is awesome in the way it charts all sorts of demographic divides over time.  You should totally check it out.  Because I find the generation gap particularly notable and misunderstood– most people assume it’s been there all along, rather than a phenomenon that essentially emerged in the 200’s– here’s the chart of it over time:

Sure, some of these voters who have been drawn to the Democratic party because of Obama’s attraction and Trump’s repulsion will end up switching, but young adulthood is an incredibly important time in forming long-lasting political attitudes.  So, 10-20 years from now the Democratic Party should really be benefiting from this.  On the not-so-bright side– that’s a long time for these voters to move into the heart of their political participation years and those old white Republicans to die off.

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