Health care problems? Obama’s fault

Yet more evidence that most Americans are beyond clueless when it comes to health care policy.  Unhappy with changes to your coverage?  Obama’s fault!  The fact that coverage changes every year and that rates go up every year happens all the time.  Now, though, instead of blaming insurance companies, you can blame Obama.  The latest from Gallup:

Trend: The Affordable Care Act's Perceived Effect on Families

I will give you that Obamacare has hurt some families.  But it is very few.  There’s absolutely, positively no way this has hurt 23% of American families.  Of course, if you are a Republican, you might as well blame anything you don’t like about health care on Obama.  And that’s presumably what’s happening.  In fact, more from Gallup:

The Affordable Care Act's Perceived Effect on Families, by Party ID, February-March 2014

Yep.  And as for those “independents” who are hurt, I guarantee you most of them are leaning Republican.

Back here in the real world, Drum:

Like most human beings, I love it when I turn out to be right. Or even when someone provides evidence that I might be right. So naturally I’m thrilled that a pair of researchers have confirmed my horseback estimate that 1-2 million people may have suffered from canceled policies and rate shock during the introduction of Obamacare…

So that means about 1.3 million people had their policies canceled and had to pay full freight for a new policy. Since the error bars on this estimate are fairly large, that comes out to somewhere in the neighborhood of 1-2 million people. In other words, less than 1 percent of the country, mostly made up of people with incomes that are higher than average.  [emphasis mine] …

Any big new piece of policy is going to have winners and losers, and a ratio of 20:1 or so is about as good as it gets in the real world.

Of course, what people believe about policy and policy reality, sadly, are two very different things.  And right now on the issue of health care that is clearly working against Democrats the ACA.

About Steve Greene
Professor of Political Science at NC State

One Response to Health care problems? Obama’s fault

  1. pino says:

    1-2 million people may have suffered from canceled policies and rate shock during the introduction of Obamacare…

    We’ll forgive Drum the logical failure here – by using the conditioner “AND” technically he is saying that there are 1-2 million people who experienced both cancelled policies and rate shock. I’m sure he meant to use the conditioner “OR”. But hey – it’s just math and numbers.

    But that’s not the only definition of hurt.

    It also MUST include:

    Full time workers that are now part time workers
    Workers idled so that companies remain under 50 people
    People who kept their policies but see higher deductibles
    People who lost their doctor
    People who have narrower “policy networks”
    People who rightfully fear that their privacy as it relates to their health is less private

    And this doesn’t count the number of people SURE to be impacted when the mandates that Obama has delayed take place. Remember, we haven’t seen the biggie yet – large employers. Heck, we haven’t seen small employers. Drum would be more honest if he extrapolated those numbers using the mandate that Obama has let take come to pass.

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