Gay marriage in 2020

Count on Nate Silver to bring the heavy statistical analysis to the future of gay marriage.  Assuming present trends in public opinion continue (certainly a debatable assumption, but the rate of increase in support has been quite stable for a number of years), here’s the state of gay marriage public opinion in 2020:

That’s pretty amazing.  And wow– Alabama and Mississippi in a class by themselves.  There’s a reason those are the two states I pick on all the time in my classes.  Mississippi: “where we keep the poor man, the Black man, and the gay man down– and don’t even get started about education.”




About Steve Greene
Professor of Political Science at NC State

One Response to Gay marriage in 2020

  1. Mike from Canada says:

    My guess is not as many would come out of the closet in Alabama or Mississippi, and I think that acceptance is likely tied to how many people know someone who is gay or lesbian.

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