Does Cain actually need an organization?

The Atlantic’s Chris Good makes the case that in the modern Tea Party era, Herman Cain doesn’t actually need an organization to win the Republican nomination:

That’s an embarrassing revelation for the Republican Party’s 2012 poll leader, but here’s the thing: Cain might not actually need a campaign.

Cain’s operation may be disorganized and unprepared, but if we’ve learned anything from recent GOP primaries, it’s that you don’t actually need a developed campaign staff in order to win — particularly if you’re a tea partier.

The 2010 elections saw tea-party Senate candidates defeat established opponents (the Mitt Romneys of the midterm election year) without much organization at all. They rode their images to victory, and, while they lost against Democrats in November, they proved that conservative primary voters will see the tea-party bat signal and turn out to vote for a candidate they may know little about.

Take, for example, Christine O’Donnell. She emerged from nowhere to win Delaware’s Senate primary over the longtime favorite, then-congressman Mike Castle, and she did it without much of a team around her…

Or take Alaska’s Joe Miller. Less than two months before his August primary against Sen. Lisa Murkowski (R), he was paying nine people to work for his campaign…

These candidates didn’t win by out-organizing their opponents; they won by attracting voters to a basic image.

If Cain enters the early states with momentum, having cast himself as the leading conservative alternative to Romney, he may not need a real campaign organization to ask Republicans to show up and vote for him. They could very well show up for him anyway.

Still don’t see that as all that likely, but Good does make a good case.  If this does pan out, I’m going to have to significantly re-write my lecture notes on presidential primary campaigns.  Especially the parts that emphasize the importance of organization.

Parenthood in one handy chart

Regular readers know my love for being a parent (and I’d have to be insane to have four kids if I didn’t love it).  Came across this great chart via FB that pretty much sums up parenting as I see it:


That one percent makes all the difference.


Edwards and Ensign

So, I was interviewed by a reporter for Politico the other day about John Edwards attempts to get the ridiculous campaign finance charges against him dismissed on the basis that the original US Attorney on the case, George Holding, was making the prosecution for politically-motivated reasons.  My basic response: of course he was, welcome to life.  Spent at least 10 minutes on the phone with the guy and not one single quote in a 3 on-line page article.  As if I didn’t have enough reason to dislike Politico.  I’m quotable, damnit!

Anyway, yesterday the judge decided that a trial will proceed.  Just seems like a huge waste of the government’s time and money.  Edwards is a cad, not a crook.   I had not thought, though, of the most obvious reason the government should not be prosecuting Edwards: John Ensign.  Via TPM:

Lawyers for former Democratic presidential candidate and Senator John Edwards have a question for the Justice Department officials prosecuting his case: what ever happened with that whole John Ensign thing?

During a hearing in federal court in North Carolina Edwards lawyer Abbe Lowell cited the $96,000 check that Ensign’s parents gave to his mistress as a severance payment, the Associated Press reports. The Federal Election Commission (FEC) dismissed the case against Ensign against the recommendation of its general counsel because they found the payment was just a gift.

Does seem like quite a precedent.  Alas, we’ll be hearing more about this in the Spring.

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