The Straw Poll


Best take I’ve heard on the Straw Poll?  It’s there for political reporters to have something to talk about.  Nate Silver has a post showing it can actually be reasonably predictive, but still, we are talking about something where the voters themselves of candidates on their behalf, pay for them to participate.  What I had never paid enough attention to notice before, is the incredibly small numbers involved.  I saw this chart of results in the Times and said to myself, “Seriously?!

All this hulabaloo over just a few thousand Iowa voters?  Wow.  Nobody (including me) ever said our primary process was rational.

On a related note… Go Bachmann!!  Will be quite interesting to see what Perry’s entry does to her.


About Steve Greene
Professor of Political Science at NC State

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