I feel like I should make some predictions.  I hate to do that when I’m so uncertain.  I’m much more comfortable predicting presidential nominees months out (especially since I did a damn good job of it in 2008). Thus, I’ll just give some vague, lame, conventional wisdom predictions.  Republicans pick up between 42-57 House seats to take a majority in the House, but top out at 48 in the Senate.  More confident prediction: nothing useful to actually help our economy get going passes Congress in the next two years and people are not particularly more happy in 2012 than they are now.  Less confident, prediction: this all sets up Sarah Palin well as the Republican nominee.  Sub-prediction: if the former proves true, it proves to be an epic mistake on the part of Republicans.


About Steve Greene
Professor of Political Science at NC State

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