Indiana and NC

More on my home-state primary later, but for now, I wanted to share one of the more insightful blog posts I've read tonight (courtesty of Noam Scheiber):

Josh makes a good point
about how pundits tend to see sharp changes in momentum even though, at
this point, demographic realities explain most of the primary results.

Still, I do think there was a bona fide momentum shift
tonight–precisely because, as Josh says, “North Carolina was an Obama
state in terms of demography and political culture … [and] Indiana
was a tossup.” Given the Wright meltdown, the possibility of Obama's
coalition collapsing–and North Carolina and Indiana not playing out
according to form–seemed very real. That they proved resistant to
Wright is a pretty important development.


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