Steve goes national!

I just finished an interview with my new best friend, Maggie Rodriguez, of the CBS Early Show.  They are airing a story on Tuesday morning on the NC primary, probably between 7:30-8:00 (barring the death of a world leader or Britney Spears going back into rehab), and yours truly should hopefully get a few seconds on air.  If you are not up, DVR it–or, of course, just use a VCR if you are still living in a cave :-). 


Getting away with torture

Great article in Slate last week (that I realized I will never actually have time to blog about) on the policy and moral failure of the Bush administration torture policies.  Very much worth a read.

It’s really all over

Though the on-going Democratic primary campaign, has certainly worked to my benefit lately (Reuters, Times of London, maybe even USA Today tomorrow), the simple fact is that this race is over.  Ezra Klein has a great summary of exactly why, today:

The uncommitted superdelegates are a particular class of
superdelegates: They have no strong allegiances to either candidate and
have been uninterested in making an early endorsement, or folding to
the current crush of pressure and making a late endorsement. As Timothy
Noah has correctly pointed out,
this suggests they are uncommitted because they mean to follow the
expressed will of the process, rather than act as freelancers. They
have, in any case, exhibited precisely zero interest in making brave,
counter-intuitive endorsement decisions. So they're likely to drift in
the direction of the numerical winner, which is almost guaranteed to be
Obama, for two reasons:

1) It is absolutely impossible for Clinton to overtake him in delegates in the remaining primaries. It can't be done.

2) She's far behind in the popular vote. If you add Florida, where
neither campaigned, she's still 300,000 votes behind. If you cheat and
add Michigan, where Obama wasn't on the ballot, and you give
him the “uncommitted” voters (as some Clintonites have suggested),
she's still 188,000 votes behind. If you do all of that, and then
Clinton wins every remaining contest by 10 points, according to Rick
Hertzberg's calculations,
she'll still be 160,000 votes behind. And that doesn't even include
Obama's caucusgoers, who aren't in the straight popular votes tally.
Point being: She's not making up the popular vote either.

So that's the math. Obama, meanwhile, needs 1/3rd of the uncommitted
superdelegates to win, while Hillary needs 2/3rds. And if her pledged
superdelegates begin switching to Obama after June 3rd, then the number
she needs grows. Clinton's only real hope is that some scandal emerges
that makes Obama literally unelectable — to the point that his
superdelegates abandon his campaign and everyone turns to Clinton in
desperation. But that's increasingly unlikely. Which makes Clinton's
endless assaults over gas tax holidays and elitism more aggravating.
Her path to the nomination is very, very unclear. Her chances to win
the nomination exceedingly slim.

But if national media outlets want to keep interviewing me on the NC primary, I shall happily continue with my pithy and insightful quotations.

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