Obama’s good news in PA

Hillary Clinton has maintained a solid lead over Obama in Pennsylvania polls, averaging about a 13% margin lately.  Nonetheless, the latest Strategic Vision polls have some good news (courtesy Noam Scheiber). 

11. Who is your choice for the Democratic Presidential
nomination in 2008? (Democrats Only)
Hillary Clinton 56%
Barack Obama 38%
Undecided 6%

13. If the election for President were held
today and the choices were John McCain, the Republican, and Hillary
Clinton, the Democrat for whom would you vote?
John McCain 48%
Hillary Clinton 42%
Undecided 10%

14. If the election for President were held
today and the choices were John McCain, the Republican, and Barack
Obama, the Democrat for whom would you vote?
John McCain 47%
Barack Obama 44%
Undecided 9%

As you can see, Hillary handily wins among Democrats, yet Obama is the superior candidate when the whole electorate is brought into play, Obama appears to be the superior candidate, running closer to McCain than Hillary.  This would seem to seriously undermine Hillary's argument that her victories in Democratic primaries in big states suggests that she's the one more likely to carry them in the general.  As Scheiber puts it, “A poll showing that Obama can get blown out
in the Pennsylvania primary and still hold his own there against McCain
suggests working-class white Democrats simply prefer Hillary, not that
they find something inherently objectionable about Obama, whom they're
apparently happy to support in the general.” 


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