On polling addictions
October 24, 2012 Leave a comment
Really enjoyed this post from Jon Bernstein about obsessing over the polls. I honestly wish I was not checking in on the Nate’s (Silver and Cohn) multiple times per day– but I cannot help myself. Also, my twitter usage has gone way up once I realized Silver was commenting a lot there as well as Mark Blumenthal of pollster.com. Anyway, Bernstein:
The only really strong recommendation I’ll give you is the basic one: polling averages, not individual polls. The rest? Look, there’s no reason to do any of this; we’ll find out soon enough who wins the presidency. So this is strictly about what to do if you’re a semi-obsessive political junky…you really, really, really want more info, but you also want an honest evaluation of what’s going on.
Yep. In general, I try not to focus too much on speculation on things over which I have no control. It doesn’t get you anywhere and you’ll know soon enough. When it comes to polls, though, I’m just powerless.