Chart of the day

Obama does not have a problem with working class whites.  He has a problem with Southern working class whites.  Via Drum:

Kind of amazing.  I also liked Drum’s comments:

This is a worthwhile corrective almost anytime you see a national result for any class of voters or any trend over the past 40 years. The massive shift of the Southern vote from Democratic to Republican is, by far, the biggest electoral change in the past few decades, and it often overwhelms national survey results. It’s something you should always at least think about when you read an article about big changes in the electorate: is this really a national change, or is it mostly driven by changes in the South? This is important not just academically, but because if it turns out to be primarily a Southern problem, the solution is going to be a lot different than if it’s truly a broad demographic shift.

There’s a reason political scientists still often throw in a “South” variable in many of our statistical models.  When it comes to politics, there’s the South and there’s everywhere else.

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About Steve Greene
Associate Professor of Political Science at NC State http://faculty.chass.ncsu.edu/shgreene

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