June 28, 2012 Leave a comment
Why the hell not. My prediction on health care:
6-3 court strikes down Individual Mandate, but leaves the rest of the law intact (if you are concerned about the implications, I presume you are already a regular reader of Ezra).
Next likely outcome: 5-4 to uphold thing completely.
Armageddon, but I genuinely think not very likely: court overturns entire law. I honestly don’t think either Kennedy or Roberts wants to go that far in either A) politicizing the Supreme Court; or B) blatantly over-turning generations of precedent. I hope I’m not wrong.
Based on today’s schedule, I will see the result come out while watching CNN in the gym– that feels weird. Here’s hoping that the result is my predicted 2nd most likely outcome.