Annals of pointless polling results

Recent Gallup poll on Obama’s new position on gay marriage finds 13% more likely to vote for him, 60% no difference, and 23% less likely.  Uh-oh– net negative!  Or not.  Check out the full table:

Does President Obama’s support for same-sex marriage make you more likely to vote for him, less likely to vote for him, or doesn’t it make any difference? May 2012 results

Most of that overall 26% comes from the more than half of Republicans who are now “less likely” to vote for Obama.  Sorry, but you cannot be “less likely” than “already not going to vote for that socialist, terrorist-sympathizer no matter what.”  This would seem to be much more an expression of their dissatisfaction with Obama’s new position than any honest assessment of their likelihood of voting for Obama.  We can be confident that somewhere in the neighborhood of 90% of Republicans will be voting for Romney in November and in no way are nearly half of them up-for-grabs in any sort of meaningful way whereas what Obama says about gay marriage could conceivably make a difference.

About these ads

About Steve Greene
Associate Professor of Political Science at NC State http://faculty.chass.ncsu.edu/shgreene

One Response to Annals of pointless polling results

  1. Once again, we agree

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s

Follow

Get every new post delivered to your Inbox.

Join 307 other followers

%d bloggers like this: